Jennifer Wexton is leading U.S. Rep. Barbara Comstock among all potential voters by 10 points, 49 to 39, with 12 percent undecided or supporting someone else in Virginia’s CD-10 race, according to a Monmouth University poll released Tuesday, June 26.
Half of the voters in CD-10 identify themselves as independents, and Virginia Democratic State Sen. Wexton leads among this group by 45% to 36%. She also has stronger support among her fellow Democrats (97% to 1% for Comstock) than Comstock has among her fellow Republicans (85% to 10% for Wexton).
Comstock’s prospects appear to be hampered by voters’ negative views of President Trump – 53% disapprove of the job he has done compared to 42% who approve in the latest Monmouth poll.
Voters also express a preference to have Democrats (42%) rather than Republicans (34%) control of Congress.
Wexton is leading among white college graduates by 50% to 41%. She also leads among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters regardless of education level by 62% to 21%.
“This part of the commonwealth was a critical factor in the blue wave that elected Democrats in last year’s election for governor and state legislature. Not much has changed in the political environment since then, with President Trump creating a significant drag for Comstock,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
Comstock was re-elected by a 6-point margin in 2016 when Hillary Clinton won the district by 10 points, – a swing of 11 points toward the Democrat compared with the 2012 presidential margin when Mitt Romney won the district by a single point.
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from June 21 to 24, 2018 with 400 Virginia voters in Virginia’s 10th Congressional District November general election. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.